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Impact of Hamas’s new leader on the Gaza conflict and peace initiatives

Yahya Sinwar has been officially appointed as the leader of Hamas, a role he took on in the aftermath of the surprise attack into Israel on October 7. Sinwar is known for his hard-line stance and close connections to Hamas’ armed wing. He is considered to have the final say on cease-fire agreements and the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas. Despite being in hiding within Gaza, Sinwar’s leadership symbolizes Hamas’ defiance in the face of adversity.

In contrast to his predecessor, Ismail Haniyeh, who had a more moderate approach, Sinwar spent over two decades in Israeli prisons and has a reputation for being ruthless. Alongside Mohammed Deif, the alleged head of Hamas’ armed wing, Sinwar is believed to have orchestrated the deadly attack on October 7. Sinwar’s demands in negotiations focus on the release of Palestinian prisoners, Israeli forces’ withdrawal from Gaza, and a lasting cease-fire.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has sworn to continue the conflict until Hamas is dismantled and all hostages are freed. Sinwar’s recent elevation as Hamas leader adds complexity to negotiations and the ongoing conflict. Despite the challenges, there is still a possibility of reaching a deal with Sinwar in power, according to experts on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

Sinwar’s leadership style remains shrouded in secrecy, as he operates from deep within Hamas’ tunnel network in Gaza. While he is likely to dictate overarching policies and decisions, day-to-day operations may still be overseen by exiled Hamas leaders in various countries. Despite facing targeted killings by Israel, Hamas has historically shown resilience. However, the recent wave of assassinations could potentially weaken the organization over time.

The onslaught of targeted killings by Israel has forced Hamas leaders to limit their movements and communications, impacting the group’s functioning. The elimination of key Hamas figures has pushed the organization towards a more hard-line direction, according to analysts. The evolving dynamics within Hamas under Sinwar’s leadership raise uncertainties about the group’s future actions and strategies.

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