Jacksonville, Fla. — The current state of the Jacksonville Jaguars is uncertain, especially concerning the future actions of owner Shad Khan following a particularly dismal period in the franchise’s history. Neither general manager Trent Baalke nor head coach Doug Pederson seems to have any insight into Khan’s potential course of action, which remains unpredictable even among those close to him. Khan, who is 74, is known for keeping his thoughts private, refraining from overreacting to disappointing results or basking in glory when the team does perform well. Even the recent approval for a significant $1.4 billion stadium renovation did not elicit much public enthusiasm from him.

After the league owners voted unanimously to ensure the Jaguars would remain in Jacksonville for the next 30 years, Khan stated that “actions speak louder than words,” hinting that meaningful changes might be on the horizon. However, before any construction can begin, Khan has more pressing issues to address. Currently, the Jaguars are languishing with a 2-9 record and are on a bye week, having lost four games in a row and 14 of their last 17. The last three games have raised significant alarms for both Baalke and Pederson, likely drawing Khan’s attention as well.

The team recorded the lowest total yards (528) while allowing the highest yards given up (1,494) in their history over a three-game span, leading to painful losses against Green Bay, Minnesota, and Detroit. Particularly alarming was a 52-6 loss to the Lions, which has historically prompted franchises to consider making significant changes, especially during a tumultuous season. While it would have been understandable for Khan to let go of either Baalke or Pederson in the wake of such defeats, he opted for silence instead, which aligns with his history of making coaching changes; the only coach he dismissed before late December was Urban Meyer in 2021, a situation fraught with controversy.

The situation for Pederson and Baalke has become increasingly difficult to defend. Critics assert that Pederson has not been able to nurture quarterback Trevor Lawrence effectively or establish a clear identity for the team. He has maintained play-calling responsibilities with offensive coordinator Press Taylor, even after Khan expressed a desire for him to take control. Furthermore, Pederson has shown little urgency in addressing the downward trend of the defense under new coordinator Ryan Nielsen.

In Pederson’s third season, his overall record sits at 21-26 with six games left to play. This record contrasts sharply with Baalke’s record of 25-55 since joining the team as an assistant GM in 2020, showcasing a disappointing winning percentage of just .308. Baalke’s draft performances have been a mixed bag; he has made some successful choices, such as drafting Lawrence, defensive end Travon Walker, right tackle Anton Harrison, and Brian Thomas Jr., but he has also missed on key first-rounder Devin Lloyd and several other picks that were meant to bolster the team.

Adding to the issues, the team’s free-agent signings have proven inconsistent, and their latest signings seem to be among the least impactful in recent history. The Jaguars committed over $150 million—including around $90 million guaranteed—to seven players in March. This group notably includes wide receiver Gabe Davis (currently out for the season), cornerback Ronald Darby (who has been highly targeted in games), and defensive lineman Arik Armstead, who has struggled with injuries and has underwhelming total tackles.

The initial synergy between Pederson and Baalke seemed promising when they led the team to a playoff appearance in their first season together and started 2023 with an 8-3 record. However, injuries severely affected the team’s performance, and they ultimately failed to qualify for the postseason after spending nearly two months leading the AFC South.

Now, as Khan has expressed that this season’s roster was the best ever assembled for the Jaguars, a point made publicly before training camp, it raises the question of how closely he is attuned to the team’s actual potential. Pederson quickly distanced himself from Khan’s claim, suggesting it was not reflective of his assessment of the team.

With Khan investing significantly in long-term contracts for key players like Lawrence, pass rusher Josh Hines-Allen, and cornerback Tyson Campbell, expectations were set high for success. Yet returns on these financial commitments have been disappointing, resulting in the Jaguars now being assured of a tenth losing season during Khan’s 13 years of ownership.

Considering the circumstances, a major overhaul might be warranted—an action Khan has only taken once before during his tenure. What Khan will ultimately decide—whether it’s a talent deficit or coaching concerns—remains to be seen. The timing and nature of any future decisions are an enigma at this point.