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AP Analysis: Anticipations for Wyoming on Election Day

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WASHINGTON — Voters in Wyoming are set to participate in a range of key races, including the presidential election, congressional contests, state legislative seats, and a significant statewide ballot measure during the general election on November 5.

In the last presidential election, Wyoming notably supported Republican Donald Trump, who aims to replicate his success as he competes against Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and a third-party candidate for the state’s three electoral votes.

Republican U.S. Senator John Barrasso will be vying for re-election with a challenge from Democrat Scott Morrow, as he seeks a fourth term in the Senate. Additionally, incumbent U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, also a Republican, is facing off against Democrat Kyle Cameron and two other candidates for Wyoming’s at-large seat in the U.S. House. Hageman secured her position in 2022 by defeating Liz Cheney, a three-term incumbent and vocal Trump adversary, in the Republican primary.

Wyoming voters will also consider a proposed amendment to state property tax regulations. This amendment would allow the Legislature to designate a subclass for residential properties that serve as owner-occupied primary residences. Properties classified under this new category could potentially be assessed at a different, likely lower, rate compared to other properties within the residential classification.

Historically, Wyoming has been a steadfast supporter of Republican candidates, favoring the GOP nominee in every presidential election since 1952, with the exception of Democrat Lyndon Johnson in 1964.

As election coverage unfolds, it is important to note that projections will not be made until a conclusive winner can be determined. The process for declaring a winner involves ensuring that there are no conceivable scenarios that could allow trailing candidates to recover. If races remain unresolved, coverage will continue with updates on important developments, such as when candidates concede or assert victory.

Here’s a breakdown of what voters can expect in the upcoming 2024 election in Wyoming:

**Election Day**: November 5.

**Poll Closing Time**: 9 p.m. ET.

**Presidential Electoral Votes**: 3 awarded to the statewide winner.

**Key Races and Candidates**: President: Harris (D) vs. Trump (R) vs. Chase Oliver (Libertarian).

**U.S. Senate**: Barrasso (R) vs. Morrow (D).

**Other Notable Races**: Contests for U.S. House, state Senate, state House, in addition to the aforementioned ballot measure.

**Past Presidential Results**: In 2020, Trump (R) received 70% of the vote while Biden (D) garnered 27%, with the race officially called on November 3, 2020, at 9 p.m. ET.

**Voter Registration and Turnout**: As of October 1, 2024, Wyoming had 236,290 registered voters, with approximately 11% identifying as Democrats, 80% as Republicans, and 8% as unaffiliated. The voter turnout during the 2020 presidential election reached 102% of registered voters, largely due to Wyoming’s same-day registration policy.

**Pre-Election Day Voting**: In 2020, about 31% of total votes were cast before Election Day, and that figure rose to approximately 36% in 2022.

**Vote-Counting Timeline**: The first votes were reported on November 3, 2020, at 9:54 p.m. ET, and by midnight ET, around 62% of total votes had been counted.

This election season in Wyoming is poised to be closely watched as traditional voting patterns continue to be tested.