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AP Insight: Anticipations for Hawaii on Election Day

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WASHINGTON — Voters in Hawaii will participate in the Election Day process later than many across the nation, as they prepare to make decisions regarding the presidential race, U.S. Senate and House contests, as well as elections for both chambers of the state Legislature.

In the presidential election, Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris is vying for Hawaii’s four electoral votes, facing off against former Republican President Donald Trump and four candidates representing various third parties, all competing to succeed the outgoing Democratic President Joe Biden.

Traditionally, Hawaii has leaned Democratic for decades, having historically voted for only two Republican presidential candidates since its statehood in 1959: Richard Nixon in 1972 and Ronald Reagan in 1984. In the last two presidential elections, both Biden and Hillary Clinton surpassed 60% of the votes, while Hawaii-born Barack Obama topped 70% in both of his campaigns.

In the race for U.S. Senate, the incumbent Democrat Mazie Hirono is campaigning for a third term against Republican Bob McDermott and two other third-party candidates. Hirono secured 71% of the votes during her previous election in 2018. McDermott, a former state representative, previously contended for the Senate in 2020, losing to Democrat Brian Schatz by a significant margin of 44 points. Hiram Fong remains the only Republican to have served as Hawaii’s senator, leaving the position in 1977.

For the U.S. House races, Ed Case, the Democratic incumbent, is pursuing a sixth full term in the 1st Congressional District, which encompasses urban Honolulu, while facing Republican Patrick Largey. Additionally, Democratic Rep. Jill Tokuda seeks a second term representing the 2nd Congressional District, covering suburban Honolulu and the neighbor islands, competing against Republican Steve Bond and two third-party candidates.

Voters will also be tasked with deciding on two statewide ballot measures while electing members to the state Legislature, with around half of the 25 state Senate seats and all 51 state House seats on the ballot. The Democratic Party currently maintains strong supermajorities in both legislative chambers.

Since implementing a mail-in voting system in 2019, Hawaii elections are primarily conducted through this method. Here is a rundown of what to anticipate for the upcoming 2024 election in Hawaii:

**Election Day**: November 5.

**Poll closing time**: 12 a.m. ET.

**Presidential electoral votes**: 4 awarded to the statewide winner.

**Key races and candidates**: President: Harris (D) vs. Trump (R) vs. Chase Oliver (Libertarian) vs. Jill Stein (Green) and two others.

**U.S. Senate**: Hirono (D) vs. McDermott (R) and two others.

**Other races of interest**: U.S. House, state Senate, state House, Amendment 1 (right to marry) and Amendment 2 (standardization of judicial appointment processes).

**Past presidential results**: 2020: Biden (D) 64%, Trump (R) 34%, called on November 4, 2020, at 12 a.m. ET.

**Voter registration and turnout**: Registered voters: 861,358 (as of November 8, 2022). Voter turnout in the 2020 presidential election: 68% of registered voters.

**Pre-Election Day voting**: Most votes in 2020 and 2022 were cast by mail.

**Vote-counting timeline**: The first votes were reported at 4:44 a.m. ET on November 4, 2020; by 6 a.m. ET that same day, approximately 95% of the total votes cast had been reported.