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Asian markets show varied results after a calm session on Wall Street

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Asian markets show varied results after a calm session on Wall Street

Asian equities exhibited a mixed performance on Wednesday as the markets grappled with the strengthening U.S. dollar and ongoing uncertainties surrounding the upcoming U.S. election.
U.S. futures and oil prices fell amid escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly following Israel’s announcement concerning an airstrike outside Beirut that resulted in the death of a Hezbollah official, who was viewed as a potential successor to the group’s previous leader, also killed in an Israeli strike last month.

In Japan, the benchmark Nikkei 225 index saw a slight decline of 0.3%, settling at 38,300.81, largely due to the dollar’s rise against the yen.
Meanwhile, Tokyo Metro Co. experienced a significant 43% surge during its market debut on Wednesday. The company successfully raised 348.6 billion yen (approximately $2.3 billion) in its initial public offering, marking the largest IPO in Japan since SoftBank Corp.’s public offering in 2018.

In China’s markets, there was a continuation of positive momentum for the second consecutive day following the central bank’s decision to lower its one-year and five-year Loan Prime Rates on Monday. The Hang Seng index in Hong Kong increased by 1.7%, reaching 20,841.73, while the Shanghai Composite rose by 0.8%, closing at 3,311.87.
Recent reports indicated that a state-backed think tank in China is proposing the issuance of 2 trillion yuan (around $281 billion) in special government bonds. This initiative aims to establish a market stabilization fund to alleviate hidden debt pressures and bolster market confidence.

Despite this bold proposal, SP1 Asset Management’s managing partner Stephen Innes commented that it seems Beijing is still reactive, playing catch-up rather than proactively addressing the issues.
In other regions, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index remained largely unchanged at 8,207.20, while South Korea’s Kospi index rose by 1.3%, reaching 2,594.23.
Taiwan’s Taiex index backed down by 0.8%, whereas India’s Sensex registered a marginal gain of 0.2%.

On the U.S. front, the S&P 500 index dipped by less than 0.1%, settling at 5,851.20, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average, similarly, fell by less than 0.1% to 42,924.89. The Nasdaq composite managed to gain 0.2%, closing at 18,573.13.

This week, stocks have slowed their unprecedented upward momentum in the face of rising Treasury yields in the bond market, with the yield on 10-year Treasury notes holding at 4.20%, significantly higher than the 4.08% recorded just last week.
The increase in Treasury yields often leads investors to be less inclined to pay high prices for stocks, especially those perceived to already be overvalued.

The rise in Treasury yields stems from various reports that suggest the U.S. economy is outperforming expectations. This development is encouraging for Wall Street, as it raises hopes of navigating through the current inflation crisis without falling into a severe recession, which many had feared was unavoidable.
As EY chief economist Gregory Daco noted, what is currently playing out could be described as a soft-landing scenario, a prospect many thought would remain an optimistic dream.

The stronger-than-expected economic data, however, has altered traders’ expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s potential rate cuts. Although the central bank is planning to lower interest rates in an effort to sustain economic strength, a more resilient economy may not require as much assistance.
According to data from CME Group, traders now anticipate that the Fed will implement a half-percentage-point reduction to its main interest rate by the end of the year. Just a month ago, these traders speculated the federal funds rate might end the year as much as half a percentage point lower than anticipated.

In energy markets, benchmark U.S. crude prices dropped by 10 cents to $71.64 per barrel, while Brent crude, the international benchmark, fell 9 cents to $75.95 per barrel.
Meanwhile, in currency markets, the U.S. dollar strengthened against the Japanese yen, rising to 152.00 from 151.03 yen, whereas the euro experienced a minor decline, sitting at $1.0802, down from $1.0803.