Secretary of State Antony Blinken is embarking on his 10th trip to the Middle East since the Gaza war began nearly a year ago, with a key focus on developing a proposal for a cease-fire deal and the release of hostages. Unlike previous missions, there is no expectation of a major breakthrough in the negotiations this time around. Blinken will not be meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on this trip, due to the complications arising from Netanyahu’s firm statements and demands in previous talks.
Blinken will be in Egypt for discussions with Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty and others, emphasizing American-Egyptian relations and consultations on Gaza. The Biden administration is now taking a more subdued approach after previously raising hopes for an agreement to end the Gaza conflict as being within reach. Efforts are underway to formulate a revised proposal involving mediators from Egypt and Qatar to facilitate a possible six-week cease-fire between Israel and Hamas in exchange for hostages and prisoners.
Egypt’s significant role in Gaza peace efforts was highlighted when the Biden administration announced its intention to provide the country with full military aid despite concerns over human rights progress. Blinken’s visit coincides with escalating tensions in the region, with Israel considering military actions against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Special envoy Amos Hochstein is engaged in efforts to de-escalate these tensions.
As the conflict looms, Hezbollah, a formidable military force in the Middle East allied with Iran, has engaged in hostilities with Israel across the border. Hochstein has cautioned against further escalation with Hezbollah, emphasizing the U.S.’ commitment to finding a diplomatic resolution. Israeli officials, however, warn of potential military action as the only means to secure the return of residents to the north. In Gaza, obstacles to a deal remain, including disagreements over a buffer zone and a prisoner swap.
The Gaza war, which began with attacks by Hamas on southern Israel in October resulting in significant casualties and abductions, has led to widespread destruction and a humanitarian crisis. Netanyahu faces criticism for the handling of the ceasefire negotiations, with President Biden stating that more needs to be done to reach an agreement. Despite challenges, efforts continue towards achieving a lasting peace in the region.