Amid rising tensions between Iran and Israel following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, doubts have been cast on the accuracy of Iran’s missile program. A recent analysis by experts revealed that one of Iran’s advanced missiles, the Emad missile, is significantly less accurate than previously believed. The findings raise concerns about Iran’s capability to carry out future attacks on Israel.
During an attack on the Nevatim Air Base, where Iranian missiles targeted Israeli F-35I fighter jet hangars, analysts from the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies calculated the missiles’ accuracy. The circular error probable, a measure indicating a weapon’s precision, was found to be around 1.2 kilometers, far exceeding Iran’s advertised 50-meter accuracy.
In a previous incident, a U.S.-led coalition intercepted numerous drones and missiles launched by Iran in an attack on Israel, with many projectiles being shot down. U.S. officials claimed that half of the Iranian missiles either failed at launch or crashed before reaching their intended targets, casting doubts on Iran’s missile capabilities.
Despite Iran’s distance from Israel and the reliance on its missile program for any potential military action, the accuracy and effectiveness of Iran’s missiles have been called into question. Iran’s threats against Israel, coupled with its nuclear ambitions, raise concerns about the possibility of Tehran resorting to weaponizing its nuclear program in response to pressure.
With ongoing tensions in the region and the uncertainty surrounding Iran’s missile capabilities, the situation remains volatile as the potential for further conflicts looms.