Polls show nail-biting race as Harris and Trump run neck and neck–nationally and in battlegrounds

With Election Day just a week away, the heated presidential contest between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is in its final stretch. Many Americans are already casting ballots, with polls reflecting a divided electorate. Here’s a look at the latest poll standings, betting odds, and expert insights as we approach Tuesday, Nov. 5.

Polling Trends: A Narrow Lead for Harris

In the national polls, Harris holds a slim edge over Trump. ABC News’ 538 model shows Harris with 48.1% to Trump’s 46.7% — a 1.4% margin that has gradually tightened from 48.5% four weeks ago. Each passing week has seen a slight decrease in her lead, dropping from a peak of 3.7% six weeks ago to the current narrow margin.

Similarly, polling aggregator 270toWin shows Harris up by just 0.7%, compared to a 2.8% lead three weeks ago. RealClearPolling now lists Trump with a slight edge of +0.1, marking a shift from Harris’s +0.9 advantage just last week. This gradual decline underscores the race’s tightening as both candidates vie for last-minute support.

Betting Markets: Trump Gains Momentum

Betting odds have shifted notably in Trump’s favor. Crypto-trading platform Polymarket echoes this trend, with Trump favored by 66.5% compared to Harris’s 33.4% — a substantial swing from last week’s narrower 61.4% to 38.6%.