Duke (6-2, 2-2 in the ACC) will face No. 5 Miami (8-0, 4-0) on Saturday at 12 p.m. ET, broadcasted on ABC.
The betting odds provided by BetMGM favor Miami by 20.5 points.
Historically, Miami has the upper hand in this matchup, leading the series with a record of 15 wins to 5 losses.
This game is crucial for Miami, as they strive to maintain their perfect record and solidify their position for a spot in the College Football Playoff.
On the other hand, Duke is looking to avoid falling below .500 in their conference games.
A significant subplot to this contest is the rivalry between the two head coaches, Manny Diaz and Mario Cristobal, both of whom are Cuban-Americans from Miami.
Cristobal took over the Miami program after Diaz’s dismissal in December 2021.
Since then, Cristobal has compiled a record of 20-13, while Diaz finished his tenure with a record of 21-15 at Miami.
Key players to watch include Star Thomas from Duke, who has been pivotal in their ground game, contributing 681 of the team’s 885 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns this season.
He has recorded 52 runs of five yards or more.
From Miami, wide receiver Xavier Restrepo is on the verge of breaking school records, being just 120 receiving yards short of Santana Moss’ record of 2,547 and eight receptions away from Mike Harley Jr.’s record of 182 receptions.
Several intriguing statistics highlight the game: Miami currently holds the top spot nationally in scoring offense, averaging 46.8 points per game.
Quarterback Cam Ward is on the cusp of passing Oklahoma’s Landry Jones in the all-time passing list, needing just 25 yards to move into fifth place.
Interestingly, road teams have won five of the last six encounters between these two programs.
Historically, Miami dominated this rivalry from 1983 to 2017 with a record of 13-1 against Duke, but the Blue Devils have since improved to 3-2 against Miami.
Since 2018, Duke has been formidable when limiting opponents to 21 points or fewer, with a remarkable 31-2 record in those situations.
However, they are only 6-0 this season under those circumstances and have lost both games when allowing over 21 points.
Miami boasts an impressive 38-10 record in its last 48 games following a matchup with Florida State.
Notably, Duke has struggled historically against top-5 ranked teams, with a dismal 3-31-2 record all-time, winless since 1960.
In contrast, Miami has held its ground as a top-5 program, maintaining a 132-18 all-time record in those rankings and a 45-3 record from 2000 to October 2004.
As for turnovers, Duke has forced 14 fumbles this season, putting them third nationally, and they are tied for third in the country with a plus-12 turnover differential.