Categories: Polls

New democratic candidate surges in the average of all Polls – and leads with 46.4 % to 43.4 % of Trump

Kamala Harris is in a surge in the national Polls. If you take an average of all polls conducted in the last two weeks Kamala Harris is leading now 46,4 % to 43,4 % against Donald Trump.


Two weeks ago both candidates were head-to-head with 44 to 44 %. Since then Harris improved clearly, and Trump lost one percentage point.


The third candidate – JF Kennedy – remains at 5.2%.


The highest lead with 6 percent has Kamala Harris in the newest poll from Outward Intelligence with 49 % to 43 % with Kennedy at 7 %. This poll was conducted from August 11 to August 15.


At the same time, the favorable rating for Kamala Harris surged since her nomination as Biden’s successor from only 38% two weeks ago to 44.4 % in an average of all polls.
In a new Emerson College poll a majority of American voters – for the first time more than 50% with 51% – see Harris already, favorably. 


At the same time, only 43% see Donald Trump as, “favorable“ compared with 52.2% unfavorable.

LARGO, MARYLAND – AUGUST 15: U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris looks back as she walks offstage after the end of her remarks at Prince George’s Community College on August 15, 2024 in Largo, Maryland. Harris and U.S. President Joe Biden held the event to talk about their administration’s efforts to lower drug costs. This event is the first time President Biden and Vice President Harris have appeared in public together since Biden announced he would be stepping down from running for re-election. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

EXCLUSIVES

Is Harris on the way to win the Election? All Swing States turn to Harris in new polls

Donald Trump has a problem: All swing states that will decide the presidential election have turned to Kamala Harris in the last two weeks – only Georgia remains tied.
In the latest round of polling at the end of May – in the middle of the growing concern of Joe Biden’s age – Trump had a clear lead in the seven swing states which will decide the election in 80 days.


Trump had a huge lead in Nevada (by 9%), in North Carolina  (by 7%), and in Pennsylvania (by 3%).


Now the whole advantage seems lost, Kamala Harris has turned five of the seven swing states around.


State by state the numbers are frustrating for the Trump campaign:
– In Arizona where Trump led by 1 % in May, Harris is now leading by 2% – 48:46.- In Michigan where Trump led by 2 % the turn-around is even bigger: Harris leads now by 3% – 49:46.- In North Carolina where Trump had an impressive 7% lead all is gone – Harris leads now by 1% – 48:47.- In Wisconsin, where Trump had a 1%lead in May Harris has now – thanks to Walz – a 49 – 46 – lead.- And in the maybe decisive state of Pennsylvania, where Trump was leading with a safe 3 % in May, Harris is now also in front with 1% – 49:48.- Georgia is still tied with 48:48 – Trump lost there an advantage of 3%.- And only in Nevada Trump is still in front with 3% and 48:45. But even in Nevada Trump’s advantage is slipping away from 9% in May to only 3 % last week.

Herbert Bauernebel

Herbert Bauernebel has been reporting from New York since 1999 and currently works for Bild.de, OE24 TV, and US Live. He also runs the news portal AmerikaReport.de. Bauernebel has covered nearly all major US events of the past quarter-century, including 9/11, Hurricane Katrina, Barack Obama’s election, Donald Trump’s surprise victory, the pandemic, last year’s election showdown, as well as natural disasters such as hurricanes and oil spills. He has also reported firsthand on international events, including the Asian tsunami, the Haiti earthquake, and the Fukushima disaster. He lives in Brooklyn with his family and holds degrees in communication and political science from the University of Vienna. Bauernebel is the author of a book about his experiences on 9/11, And the Air Was Full of Ash: 9/11 – The Day That Changed My Life.

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Herbert Bauernebel

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