Categories: Polls

Is Harris on the way to win the election? ALL swing states turn to Harris in new polls

Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event at Hendrick Center for Automotive Excellence on the Scott Northern Wake Campus of Wake Tech Community College in Raleigh, N.C., Friday, Aug. 16, 2024. (AP Photo/Mike Stewart)

Donald Trump is facing a significant challenge: All but one of the crucial swing states that will decide the upcoming presidential election have shifted in favor of Kamala Harris over the past two weeks, with only Georgia remaining tied.

Back in late May, amid growing concerns about Joe Biden’s age, Trump held a clear lead in the seven key swing states that will determine the outcome of the election in just 80 days.

At that time, Trump had a substantial lead in Nevada (by 9%), North Carolina (by 7%), and Pennsylvania (by 3%).

Now, the advantage seems to have evaporated, as Kamala Harris has flipped five of the seven swing states in her favor.

State by state, the numbers spell frustration for the Trump campaign:

In Arizona, where Trump led by 1% in May, Harris is now ahead by 2%—48% to 46%.
In Michigan, where Trump led by 2%, the turnaround is even more striking: Harris now leads by 3%—49% to 46%.
In North Carolina, where Trump once held an impressive 7% lead, Harris has now edged ahead by 1%—48% to 47%.
In Wisconsin, where Trump had a 1% lead in May, Harris now holds a 49% to 46% advantage, thanks in part to Governor Tony Evers.
In the potentially decisive state of Pennsylvania, where Trump was comfortably ahead by 3% in May, Harris has taken the lead by 1%—49% to 48%.
Georgia remains tied at 48% to 48%, with Trump losing his earlier 3% advantage.
Only in Nevada does Trump maintain a lead, albeit a narrowing one at 3% (48% to 45%). This is a significant drop from his 9% lead in May.

Trump’s campaign is now grappling with a rapidly changing electoral landscape as the election nears.

Herbert Bauernebel

Herbert Bauernebel has been reporting from New York since 1999 and currently works for Bild.de, OE24 TV, and US Live. He also runs the news portal AmerikaReport.de. Bauernebel has covered nearly all major US events of the past quarter-century, including 9/11, Hurricane Katrina, Barack Obama’s election, Donald Trump’s surprise victory, the pandemic, last year’s election showdown, as well as natural disasters such as hurricanes and oil spills. He has also reported firsthand on international events, including the Asian tsunami, the Haiti earthquake, and the Fukushima disaster. He lives in Brooklyn with his family and holds degrees in communication and political science from the University of Vienna. Bauernebel is the author of a book about his experiences on 9/11, And the Air Was Full of Ash: 9/11 – The Day That Changed My Life.